One of the last things on the minds of Orlando voters right now, is the upcoming elections. We’re dealing with the Coronavirus pandemic, hurricane season is on the way, and the upcoming recession will push many families into uncertain territory.
No one cares about your campaign right now. That’s the truth.
This is why those who are considering challenging incumbents this year would probably be better off waiting until 2022.
Candidates are already complaining about petition requirements (story HERE), and fundraising is going to be an even more daunting task than it normally is. There isn’t any money this year.
The runway will also be much shorter.
At the earliest, when will things back to normal? Campaign normal? June?
This is especially bad for those dealing with a primary. Party leaders that have no choice but to field challengers, but they’ve got to try to break these things up. They’re no good and more counterproductive than ever.
Right now incumbents have an unobstructed dialog with the voters. They can focus strictly on helping everyone by supplying information on social media. That doesn’t cost very much and staying healthy is about as bipartisan as it gets.
There is also the psychological effect. Moderate voters will bond with the leaders that can get them through this mess with minimal trouble.
“Well, if we can get through this with them in office, then we’re fine.” they’ll say or “Well, they’ve earned my vote this time around.” they’ll add.
That is going to go all the way up and down the ballot.
This is unlikely going to be a “throw the bums out” year. Not with the way things are trending.
Not unless, there is a setback regarding the pandemic that can be brought down to the Central Florida level.
2022 is the way to go. And there are pluses for both parties.
For Republicans, it’s a mid term. They haven’t really lost a mid term in Florida in 14 years.
For Democrats, big statewide contests will be on the ballot to energize voters, including a gubernatorial race and a senate race. If the demographics haven’t shifted their way by then, it ain’t happening.
Both scenarios would be better than throwing away their money on what essentially is a lost campaign season.