A very small group of voters could determine the next two members of congress from Orlando

Okay, I don’t talk campaign politics very often anymore but this is a truly special scenario that we’re seeing unfold in two Orlando area congressional districts. I have to talk about it.

In district 7 we have 13 candidates running. The seat leans right, and its widely believed that the winner of the GOP primary will be favored to win the general election and serve in the house.

In district 10 we have 18 candidates running (goodness). The seat leans left and its widely believed that the winner of the Democratic primary will be favored to win the general election and serve in the house.

While it’s often a tired cliche in politics when a campaign refers to “their voters” to help them get elected, it’s not an excuse this time around.

We have a candidate pool that is so diluted that one small niche group of voters in each of those districts can lead a candidate to victory in the primary. And the rest of their respective party would push them over the top in November.

In district 7 …

It could be Trump conservatives in Longwood.

It could be seniors in Altamonte Springs.

Some candidates could be banking on name ID in their home neighborhoods and attempt to maximize turnout there.

In district 10..

It could be Black voters in West Orange County (but with so many candidates it could be broken down even further to the precincts).

It could be millenial progressives.

We could have former lawmakers hoping their old constituents remember them and that muscle memory takes place.

And all of this is in a mid term where no one is guaranteed to show up anyways.

Does such small groups of voters having such a large amount of power equal out to strong representation in congress? I don’t know. We’re about to see.

It could be the deciding factor in fields that are this big. It’s not just a lame excuse anymore. If your voters show up then you could end up in Washington.

The candidate that can get them to the polls by any means necessary will win.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.